@article {bnh-2388, title = {A critical review of the application of environmental scenario exercises}, journal = {Futures}, volume = {73}, year = {2015}, month = {03/10/2015}, chapter = {176}, abstract = {

Scenario exercises have become instrumental across multiple fields, from their original usage in business planning and military planning, to being ubiquitous in environmental planning and policy formation. This article critically reviews whether there are explicit and imminent divisions between how scenario exercises are used and discussed, with particular focus on the literature of qualitative scenarios concerning environmental challenges. The authors interrogate what scenario exercises are in actual practice, in the context of what they are used for and how they are designed, before then considering the criteria for determining {\textquoteleft}success{\textquoteright} for a scenario exercise. The particular focus of the literature analysed is in the emergence of the discipline of {\textquoteleft}environmental scenarios{\textquoteright}, being scenarios concerned with 21st Century environmental challenges such as the influence of climate change on the notion of natural hazards.\ 

}, url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328715001329}, author = {Josh Wodak and Timothy Neale} } @article {bnh-1451, title = {Scientific Diversity, Scientific Uncertainty and Risk Mitigation Policy and Planning Scenario Exercise Lit Review}, year = {2014}, month = {11/2014}, abstract = {

The Scientific Diversity, Scientific Uncertainty and Risk Mitigation Policy and Planning (RMPP)\ project aims to investigate the diversity and uncertainty of bushfire and flood science, and its
contribution to risk mitigation policy and planning.


The RMPP project draws on human geography, political science, legal studies and science,\ technology and society studies, to investigate how policy makers, practitioners, courts, inquiries\ and the community differentiate, understand and use scientific knowledge in relation to bushfire\ and flood risk. It will use qualitative social science methods including scenario exercises,\ theoretical tools and case studies, to analyse how diverse knowledges are ordered and judged as\ salient, credible and authoritative, and the pragmatic meaning this holds for emergency\ management across the PPRR spectrum.

This research report outlines how scenario exercises may be used for understanding risk mitigation\ decision-making, as scenario exercises will inform a core component of the RMPP project. The\ report outlines what scenario exercise are, why they are used, and how they can be used to\ achieve the aims of the RMPP project. The focus is on environmental scenarios: that is, scenarios\ about environmental challenges. Literature about scenarios for other purposes, such as business\ and strategy, are included where appropriate.

}, issn = {002}, author = {Josh Wodak} }